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AP Stats - Beverly High School

AP® Statistics
 * Teacher:** Ms. Lebzelter

__**Course Materials**__

Text __The Practice of Statistics__ Yates, Moore and Starnes

Required Graphing Calculator, TI 83/84

=Prerequisites=

Preferred: Successful Completion of Algebra II, grade of A or better in CP, or successful completion of Pre- Calc, grade of B or better.

__**Course**__

Advanced Placement Statistics acquaints students with the major concepts and tools for collecting, analyzing, and drawing conclusions from data. The broad concepts include:

Exploring Data: Describing patterns and departures from patterns Sampling and Experimentation: Planning and conducting a study Anticipating Patterns: Exploring random phenomena using probability and simulation Statistical Inference: Estimating population parameters and testing hypothesis

The TI-83 /84, Graphing Calculator is required for this class. Computers and calculator will allow students to focus deeply on the statistics concepts involved, the ideas, computations and connections with actual events. Students will work on projects involving the hands-on gathering and analysis of real world data. This course prepares students for the Advanced Placement examination in Statistics. See __www.collegeboard.com__ for more information

__**Evaluations**__

Assessments include Homework, Projects, Classwork, Quizzes, Tests and Mid term Exams It is expected that students will take the AP test in lieu of a final exam. If absent on the day of a test or quiz, a makeup must be taken within the week. If you are present on the day the test or quiz is given, you are required to take it. //Cheating is unacceptable and will result in a grade of zero.//

__**Homework**__

Homework strengthens your understanding and will be assigned every day. It may be checked or corrected and graded for credit.

Your name, the date, page and problem numbers must be listed on the top of each assignment.

__**Preparation**__

This is a college level course. You must show up on time for class, prepared to work with calculator and completed assignments.

__**Attendance**__
Attendance is required in accordance with the BHS student handbook. Three tardies will equal one absence. Unexcused tardies over ten minutes will be counted as an undocumented absence. More than four undocumented absences per quartter will result in failure and a maximum grade of 59.

__**Grading Policy**__

__Percent of quarter grade__ Assessments 90 % Journals/Writing Assignments 5 % Assignments 5%


 * A+** 97-100 **B+** 87-89 **C+** 77-79 **D+** 67-69 **F** 59 and below
 * A** 94-96 **B** 84-86 **C** 74-76 **D** 64-66
 * A-** 90-93 **B-** 80-83 **C-** 70-73 **D-** 60-63

Open Response Questions will be graded from 0 to 4, according to rubrics. __**Grade % value**__

The final course grade will be based on the average quarter grades.

__**Course Objective and Expectations**__

All students are expected to take the College Board AP® Statistics exam in May. This course is a preparation for that test. Students who successfully complete the course and examination may receive credit and/or advanced placement for a one-semester introductory college statistics course. A student who takes the AP Exam will be excused from a classroom final exam.

__**Contact information**__

Available for help Mondays and Wednesdays after school in room C333. email: __jlebzelter@beverlyschools.org__

=__ AP Statistics Audit Syllabus __=
 * __ Course Materials __**

Text __The Practice of Statistics__

2rd edition, by Yates, Moore, and Starnes,

W. H. Freeman & Co., 2008. ISBN: 0-7167-4773-1 yms

Required Graphing Calculator, TI 83/84

=__ Prerequisites __= Successful Completion of Algebra II, CP1, or Pre- Calculus


 * __ Course __**

Advanced Placement Statistics acquaints students with the major concepts and tools for collecting, analyzing, and drawing conclusions from data. The broad concepts include:

Exploring Data: Describing patterns and departures from patterns

Sampling and Experimentation: Planning and conducting a study

Anticipating Patterns: Exploring random phenomena using probability and simulation

Statistical Inference: Estimating population parameters and testing hypothesis

The TI-83 /84, Graphing Calculator is required for this class. Computers and calculator will allow students to focus deeply on the statistics concepts involved, and reinforce the ideas, computations and connections with actual events. Students will work on projects involving the hands-on gathering and analysis of real world data. This course prepares students for the Advanced Placement examination in Statistics. See www.collegeboard.com for more information on the AP program.


 * __ Evaluations __**

Assessments include Projects, Quizzes, Tests, Classwork, Homework, Quarterly and Final Exams

__ Percent of semester grade __ Quizzes 25 % Homework and Open Response/ Investigative Task Questions 25 % Classwork, Activities and Projects 25 % Tests/ Exams 25 %
 * __ Grading Policy __**

Investigative Tasks are longer open response problems, mini projects requiring set up, design, analysis and communication of statistical conclusions

Open Response Questions / Investigative Tasks will be graded from 0 to 4, according to a four-point rubric similar to the AP Free Response questions.


 * __ Grade % value __**

4 95%.

3 85%

2 75%

1 65%

0 0 or a 45% depending on effort/quality

Projects are longer term problems requiring design, gathering/generating, analyzing and interpreting data. A class presentation and/or submitted written project report will be required each quarter.

The final course grade will be based on the mean of the quarter grades. The first two semesters will be weighted, as they are double blocks.


 * __ Course Expectations __**

All students are expected to take the College Board AP® Statistics exam in May. This course is a preparation for that test. There will also be a required full-length practice test offered on a Saturday in March/April. Students who successfully complete the course and examination may receive credit and/or advanced placement for a one-semester introductory college statistics course.

Students should develop effective statistical communication skills. Students are required to prepare and present written and oral analyses of real data from models, surveys, experiments, observations, computer software output, studies and current news articles. Data analysis will include graphical and numerical summaries. Analysis will include calculations and terminology and technology when appropriate. Students will make inferences and draw conclusions in context from the data. Students will be able to summarize and interpret data and its meaning clearly and concisely.


 * __ Supplementary Materials __** : followed by reference code used in syllabus

__ Workshop Statistics __ Allan J. Rossman, Beth L. Chance, 2nd ed. Emeryville, CA: Key College Publishing, 2001. ISBN: 1-930190-03-4 - ws

__Stats: Modeling the World__,Bock, David E., and Richard D. DeVeaux. Boston: Pearson/Addison-Wesley, 2007. bvd

DD __Decisions Through Data__ Video series NSF/COMAP, 1993. - dd

__Prep for the AP exam guide for Yates, Moore, and Starnes’s The Practice of Statistics__. Larry J. Peterson 2nd Ed. New York: W.H. Freeman, 2003. - pyms

__The Yates, Moore, and Starnes’s Practice of Statistics student CD__

__The Practice of Statistics__(3rd edition), by Yates, Moore, and Starnes, W. H. Freeman & Co., 2008. ISBN: 0-7167-7309-0 yms3

Worksheets created by instructor or colleagues for introduction of concepts and review - w

- key to source


 * Course content || ** Assignments ** ||
 * ** Introduction - 3 days ** ||
 * ** Activity: ** population question - Introduces components of statistical problem solving process: question, data production, data analysis, bias and inference || Syllabus, expectations, book

1.1 - 1.5 yms

Pierre, SD population w ||
 * Summer Reading Assignment

Basic Calculator use

data entry, lists, graphs, windows, catalog, catalog help || __ The Lady Tasting Tea __ Questions and discussion

Calculator practice, data entry, labels, lists w

1.6,1.7, 1.8 yms ||
 * = Data analysis fundamentals:  =

= Key questions; Individuals, variables  =

= Quantitative vs. Categorical, unit of observation  = One variable graphical displays || Current events Article questions w

Bar graphs, Pie charts on board, present groupwork ||


 * ====Analyzing One Variable Data - 7 days Chapter 1==== ||
 * Basic graphical display: 1.1

Categorical variables - bar graphs and pie charts; Quantitative variables - dotplots and stemplots

**Activity:** Student generated data - introduce shape, center, spread and unusual points || 1.9, 1.10, 1.12 yms

generate stemplots, practice on whiteboards

Reading and Interpreting Minitab stemplots yms 3

Student generated data, age, siblings… graph on whiteboards, discuss ||
 * Displaying quantitative variables:

Constructing and interpreting histograms Different intervals, scales and comparisons || Read 1.1, 1.16, 1.17 yms

Histograms on Calculator, useful interval widths w ||
 * Ogives and timeplots:

Determining percentiles from data and vice versa

Trends, cycles

Histograms, Timeplots and Ogives Quiz || Practice AP type questions w

1.19, 1.20, 1.21 yms

1.1A practice “Quiz” yms Quiz w. AP type questions || Mean, median, mode, range, IQR
 * Numerical measures of center and spread/variability 1.2

Boxplots, 5 number summary

Outliers and the 1.5xIQR outlier guideline Numerical summaries on the calculator

**Activity:** Matching boxplots, histograms, summary statistics to Data || 1.19, 1.25, 1.31, 1.32

Boxplots on Calculator w

Veterinary Boxplots w

5-8 RC

1.25, 1.27, yms

numerical, graphical group work w

1.29, 1.31, 1.33, 1.34, 1.35, 1.36 yms || Standard Deviation
 * Numerical measures of center and spread/variability

Determining when to use which summary statistics

How do units affect center and spread? || 1.37, 1.38, 1.39 yms

1.40, 1.41, 1.43 yms

1.44, 1.45, 1.46 yms

3-15, 4-1 ws

Unit 6 video The Standard Deviation, questions and exercises dd ||
 * Comparing distributions

Side by side stemplots, boxplots and dotplots

Comparing Distributions Quiz || 1.48, 1.49, 1.68 yms

1.50, 1.53 yms

Quiz 1.2 yms || 1.52, 1.55, 1.60, 1.61, 1.64, 1.66, 1.67, 1.70 ||
 * Summary of One Variable Data || Multiple choice practice AP questions w
 * ** Investigative Task ** – Display, analyze and write expenditures report, show data distribution and conclude results || Dollars for Students w ||
 * Test on analyzing One Variable Data || Test Chap 1 yms ||


 * ** Normal Distributions - 8 days Chapter 2 ** ||
 * Density curves

Normal distributions and the 68-95-99.7 rule || 2.1, 2.2, 2.3, 2.4 yms

2.6, 2.7, 2.8, 2.9 yms

Normal distribution on graphing calculator w

Comparing SAT scores w ||
 * ** Activity: ** Collect Data, Graph, Analyze Distribution

Is distribution Normal? || Bend Paper Clip until it Breaks w ||
 * Measures of relative standing

Percentiles and z-scores || 2.11, 2.12, 2.13, 2.14, 2.15 yms

2.19, 2.20

Unit 7 video, questions and exercises dd ||
 * Standard Normal curve and table

Uniform and Skewed Density Curves || 2.21, 2.22, 2.23, 2.24, 2.25 yms

2.29, 2.31, 2.34, 2.35 yms ||
 * Assessing normality

Normal probability plots

other graphical and numerical methods || 2.27, 2.38, yms

graphing calculator worksheets w

Multiple choice practice AP questions w ||
 * Practice problems with density curves || 15-3 ws ||
 * Summary

Normal Distributions Quiz || 2.31, 2.34, 2.35, 2.42, 2.50 yms

Quiz 3 ||
 * ** Investigative Task ** - Display comparative and summary statistics from data to report conclusions and recommendations on insurance and injury policies || Auto Safety w ||
 * Test on Normal Distributions || Test Chap 2 yms ||
 * ** Analyzing two Variable data - 9 days Chapter 3 ** ||
 * Scatterplots: constructing and interpreting
 * Scatterplots: constructing and interpreting

Direction, shape, strength (and outliers)

Explanatory and response variables Making scatterplots on the calculator || 3.1, 3.4 yms

3.6 yms

8-7 ws

3.15, 3.16, 3.17 yms

3.20, 3.22, 3.33 yms ||
 * Correlation: calculations & properties

Defining correlation, what affects correlation?
 * Activity: ** Guess the correlation (applet) – add data change and predict r || 3.29, 3.31, 3.40 yms

3.36, 3.37 yms

matching graphs with coorelations w

yms student cd ||
 * Least Squares Regression

Interpreting the slope and y-intercept in context Prediction and extrapolation Finding the LSRL on the calculator Reading and interpreting lsr, computer regression output

**Activity:** student gathered data - Using armspan and height to calculate r and lsr || 3.40, 3.41 yms

planet measurements w

TV and life expectancy 11-3 ws

Practice AP type problems w

minitab computer output w

Hours studied vs. test scores - graphing and predictions w ||
 * More linear regression

b = r(sy/sx) mean x and y on lsr, a = y - bx

**Activity:** LSR applet, Minimize sum of squares

Least Squares Regression Quiz || 3.46, 3.52, 3.55, 3.57, 3.61 yms

calculator skills w

Quiz Chap 3 || Residual plots - constructing & interpreting r2 - calculation & interpretation Residual plots on the calculator || 3.41, 3.42, 3.44, 3.45, yms
 * Analyzing residuals & r2

Practice questions w

Unit 13 video, Correlation, questions dd

10-17 ws ||
 * Unusual points in regression

Outliers, influential points || Animal gestation 11-1 ws

Marriage/ divorce rate influential data w

Multiple choice practice AP questions w ||
 * ** Investigative Task ** – interpret data using graphical displays, Correlation, Regression, Prediction lsr, r, r2 || Male and Female Heights ||
 * Summary and Review || Quiz 3.3 yms

Multiple choice practice AP questions w

3.55, 3.57, 3.61, 3.65, 3.76 yms ||
 * ** Project ** written report on two variable data

gather data sample, display data, create a model, make predictions on price || Price to sell a used car based on its age - Special Problem 3B yms ||
 * Test on analyzing two variable data || Chap 3 Test with multiple choice and AP free response yms ||


 * ** Data Transformation - 10 days Chap 4 ** ||
 * Powers and logs, ln, e …

**Activity:** Exponential growth model - pennies in a box -heads

Ladder of Powers Transforming to achieve linearity || 4.2, 4.3, 4.4 yms

8-11 bvd

plot of exponential growth Re- expressing y ||
 * Transformations and regression models on the calculator || Linear transformation practice w

transform data to make linear, make predictions ||
 * Exponential models

Exponential growth, log y transformation || 4.6, 4.11, 4.17 yms Planet Position vs distance ws ||
 * Power models

log x, log y transformation || 4.12, 4.16 yms

modeling data classwork w || Quiz
 * Choosing the best model

PwrReg and ExpReg on the calculator || Multiple choice practice AP questions w

Quiz 4.1A yms ||
 * ** Investigative Task ** - Create a linear model, discuss accuracy, make a stronger model, make predictions and assess models || Weight and Length of Alligators w ||
 * Establishing causation:

Lurking variables, confounding,

Common response

Extrapolation || 4.38, 4.40, 4.41, 4.42, 4.43 yms

4.49 yms

9-15 fires, ice cream & drowning ws ||
 * Marginal and Conditional Distributions

2 way tables

Create and Analyze Segmented bar graphs || 4.53 yms

2 way tables w, 7-7, 7-8, 7-9 ws

Age and Political Ideology group project ||
 * Simpson’s Paradox total proportions reversed from component proportions || 4.56, 4.59, 4.60 yms

7-4 hospital a vs b, 7-22 ws ||
 * ** Investigative Task ** – write a newspaper article on the marginal and conditional categorical data presented in a two way table.

Review

Quiz on Linear Transformations || Analyze and interpret Race and the Death Penalty w

4.54, 4.55 yms

Quiz ||
 * Test on Data Transformations Chap 4 || Test Chap 4 yms ||


 * ** Producing Data - 8 days ** || ** Chapter 5 ** ||
 * ====Observational Study vs. Experiments====

Activity: Sampling - Pick 5 samples then randomly pick 5 samples. Compare to populations actual mean
|| ====Current event articles====

Sampling the Population w
||
 * Sampling methods

Voluntary response, convenience samples, Simple Random sample (SRS), stratified sampling, cluster sampling, systematic sampling, multi-stage sampling Sampling Frame

**Activity:** Sampling Methods-Compare methods, results || 5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 5.4, 5.5 yms, 5.9, 5.10 yms 5.13, 5.14, 5.15,5.16, 5.17, 5.18, yms

Rolling Down the River w || Undercoverage, nonresponse, question wording, potential bias
 * Designing polls and surveys

Population, census

Choosing samples with technology || 12-2 ws

5.23, 5.26, 5.27.28 yms

teen bias article w ||
 * Experimental design

Subjects, factors, treatments, explanatory & response variables; completely randomized design

Matched Pairs, Blocking Simulation Experiments

Sampling, Treatments, Control Groups, Experimental Units, Placebo Effect, Blinding, Double Blind || 5.31, 5.32, 5.33, 5.34 yms

5.45 yms

5.59, 5.60, 5.61 yms

5.70, 5.73 yms

Unit 15 video, Designing Experiments, questions and exercises dd

classify experiment or observation, details w

1-20 Chap 13 bvd ||
 * ** Activity: ** Student Project: Develop a Student Survey,

Administer, and Tally. Submit a written report and present Survey to class || Unit 18 video, Sample Surveys, questions and exercises dd ||
 * ** Activity: ** Design and Simulate Experiment

Summary and Review || Collect Cereal Box prizes w

Multiple choice practice AP questions w

5.74, 5.76,5.77, 5.78, 5.79, 5.84, 5.87 yms ||
 * Sampling, Observations and Experiments Quiz || Quiz 5.3 yms ||


 * ** Review and Assessment - 2 days ** || ** Cumulative Review ** ||
 * Quarterly Exam || Quarterly Exam - AP format with Multiple Choice, Short Answer and Free Response ||


 * ** Probability - 11 days Chapter 6 ** ||
 * Probability- sample spaces, outcomes, events || 6.2, 6.3, 6.4 yms ||
 * Simulations: Modeling probability

tables and random number generators

**Activities:** Modeling Probability using Random numbers || 6.11, 6.12, 6.13, 6.14, 6.17 yms

6.19, 6,21, 6.22 yms

Did you get the flu? w ||
 * Probability concepts Law of large numbers

Probability as long-run relative frequency, randomness, mutually exclusive, equally likely outcomes || 6.27, 6.28, 6.29, 6.30, 6.31, 6.32 yms

probability questions w

Multiple choice practice AP questions w ||
 * Basic probability rules

Addition rule for disjoint events, complement rule

Venn diagrams - union and intersection, and, or || 6.46, 6.51, 6.52, 6.53 yms

Multiple choice practice AP questions w

6.54, 6.55, 6.56, 6.57 yms ||
 * Quiz on Probability || Quiz 6.2 yms ||
 * Independence

Definition, multiplication rule for independent events

Independence & Bayes' theorem

Proving independence, disjoint vs. independent || 6.64 yms 6.78, 6.79, 6.80 yms

7, 10, 11 bvd

6.69, 6.78, 6.83, 6.87 yms ||
 * ** Investigative Task ** - set up and simulate experiment to test a friend’s claim of esp. Explain procedure, show results and conclude in a written report. || ======ESP====== ||
 * Conditional probability, False Positives

General multiplication rule & tree diagrams

Quiz on Probability || 6.70, 6.73, 6.74, 6.76, yms

Multiple choice practice AP questions w

Quiz 6.3 yms ||
 * ** Investigative Task ** – Compare experimental, simulated and theoretical probabilities || Amarillo Slim Draw 5 cards to get exactly 3 Jacks Special problem 6C yms ||
 * Practice problems with probability
 * Activity: ** Set up and model experimental simulation for probability of correct matches || Multiple choice practice AP questions w

Random Babies problem 14-1 ws ||
 * Test on probability || Test Chap 6 yms ||


 * ** Random Variables - 8 days Chapter 7 ** ||
 * Discrete and Continuous random variables || 7.1, 7.2, 7.3, 7.22 yms ||
 * Probability distributions and Random Variable notation

and probability models || 7.4, 7.5, 7.6, 7.7, 7.9, 7.35

Multiple choice practice AP questions w ||
 * ** Activities ** : Experimental, Simulated and Theoretical Craps and Roulette games

Mean and variance of a random variables

Law of large numbers

Quiz on Random Variables || Expected Value and Standard deviation of discrete random variable and simulate probabilities of win /loss outcomes, graph and interpret results w

7.23, 7.29, 7.30, 7.32, 7.33, 7.43 yms

Quiz 7.1 yms ||
 * Rules for means & variances

Linear combinations of random variables; independence || 7.36 yms

7.39, 7.41, 7.47, yms

5, 19, 22, 32 bvd chap 16 ||
 * Combining Normal random variables || 7.44, 7.45, 7.46, yms ||
 * Review and Practice || 7.48, 7.49, 7.50, 7.51, 7.60, 7.62 yms

Multiple choice practice AP questions w ||
 * ** Investigative Task ** - review of graphical displays and distributions, written conclusion || Is this class stacked? w ||
 * Test on Discrete and Random Variables || Test Chap 7 yms ||


 * ** Binomial & Geometric Random Variables - 7 days Chapter 8 ** ||
 * Binomial settings & the binomial random variable

X = # of successes

conditions, formulas and introduction || 8.3, 8.4 yms

8.5, 8.8, 8.11, 8.12 yms

8.1, 8.37, 8.38 yms ||
 * ** Investigative Task ** –simulate gender probabilities and run experiment || Ask Marilyn? Is 2 boys more likely if 1st child is a boy ||
 * Binomial distributions: mean, variance ways to rearrange success, combinations nCr on calculator

Binomial distributions on the calculator pdf vs. binomial cdf || 8.13, 8.14 yms

2, 7, 8, 10,11 bvd

28, 29, 30, 34, 35 bvd ||
 * Binomial Distribution Quiz || Quiz 8.1 yms ||
 * Normal approximation to the binomial distribution Binomial simulations

Estimating binomial probabilities with Normal calculations || 8.19, 8.24, 8.27, 8.29, 8.30 yms

6, 19, 20 bvd ||
 * Geometric distributions conditions

number of trials up to and including 1st success

**Activity:** Simulate number of buys until you have a complete set. Make predictions. Analyze results. || 8.36, 8.41, 8.43, 8.44 yms

practice w

Collecting Cereal Prizes w ||
 * Quiz on geometric random variables || Quiz 8.3 yms ||
 * Practice problems with binomial & geometric random variables

Calculator methods for Bernoulli trials || 8.50, 8.51, 8.52, 8.59, 8.60, 8.63, 8.65, 8.66, 8.67, 8.68 yms

19, 22, 32, 5 chap 17 bvd ||
 * Review and Test on Binomial & Geometric Random Variables || 12, 13, 14, 18 chap 17 bvd

Test Chap 8 yms ||


 * ** Sampling distributions -7 days Chapter 9 ** ||
 * What is a sampling distribution?

Parameter/ statistic, Bias and Variability

**Activity:** Students collect random samples of candy population to graph and evaluate distribution || 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.10 yms

9.10, 9.15, 9.16 yms

Reese’s Pieces 16-2 ws ||
 * Sampling distributions of sample proportion

Mean and standard deviation of sampling distribution || 9.17, 9.19 yms ||
 * Sample Size

Normal approximation and rules

Calculations and conditions || 9.20, 9.21, 9.22, 9.23 yms

9.25, 9.27, 9.30 yms ||
 * Quiz on sampling distributions || Quiz 9.2 yms ||
 * Mean and standard deviation of sampling distribution of means

Central Limit Theorem -Normal population distribution

**Activity:** Sampling Pennies 9B || 9.32, 9.33, 9.34 yms

9.35, 9.39 yms

Display and Interpret data - nonnormal sample distribution has normal distribution of means yms ||
 * Practice problems with sampling distributions || Unit 19 Video, Sampling Distributions, dd

9.49, 9.50, 9.51, 9.58 yms ||
 * Quiz on Sample Means || Quiz 9.3 yms ||


 * ** Review and Assessment - 5 days ** || ** Cumulative Review and Multiple choice practice AP questions w ** ||
 * ** Project: ** Bias Project – design sampling method and collect data for survey, create and predict bias, collect and present conclusions || Investigate how different forms of Bias affect results of a survey, individual or group project, includes visual, written and oral presentation ||
 * Quarterly Exam || Cumulative Quarterly Exam - AP format with Multiple Choice, Short Answer and Free Response

chap 1-9 yms ||


 * ** Introduction to Inference - 14 days Chapter 10 ** ||  ||
 * Confidence Interval- estimating an unknown parameter
 * Activity: ** Tack Flip || 10.2, 10.3, 10.4A yms

class generated confidence intervals yms ||  ||
 * Confidence interval for mean when standard deviation is known - Introduce Inference Toolbox

Margin of Error || 10.5, 10.6, 10.7 yms

Confidence Interval Checklist w

10.8, 10.9 yms ||  ||
 * Confidence interval cautions and conditions

Changing confidence level || 10.12, 10.15, 10.16, yms ||  ||
 * Interpreting confidence interval vs. level

Determining sample size || 10.19,10.24 yms

Unit 20 Video, Confidence Intervals, questions dd ||  ||
 * Quiz confidence level and intervals || Quiz 10.1 yms ||  ||
 * Introduction to significance testing

Stating hypotheses – null and alternative hypothesis, one-sided vs. two-sided tests, terminology |||| 10.27, 10.28, 10.29, 10.30, 10.31 yms ||
 * P-values

significance levels, If p-value is low reject Ho |||| 10.35, 10.38, 10.39, 10.58, 10.64, 10.65 yms ||
 * Components of a significance test – Inference Toolbox

Conditions, calculations, interpretation, statistical significance and p-value

Quiz |||| Significance - Hypothesis Checklist w

10.40, 10.41 yms

Quiz 10.2 yms ||
 * ** Investigative Task: ** Estimate probabilities of heavier pineapples. Show procedure to simulate experiment. Report results. Calculate sample size for 95% confidence interval discuss cause. |||| The Pineapple Problem yms ||
 * Practice problems for a single population parameter

Quiz on mean difference |||| AP type questions w

Quiz 10.4 ||
 * Hypothesis Tests,Confidence Intervals on the calculator |||| Calculator w ||
 * Type I & II errors, Power

Type I and II error in context

Connection between power and Type II error |||| AP type questions w

10.66, 10.67, 10.68 yms

10.73, 10.89 yms ||
 * Test on one-sample Inference |||| Test Chap 10 yms ||

t tests on the calculator || 11.12, 11.14 yms
 * ** Inference for Distributions - 10 days Chapter 11 ** ||
 * Inference for mean of a population – unknown pop std dev - t statistic, standard error || 11.1, 11.2, 11.3, 11.4, yms ||
 * Terminology, tables and calculator for t statistic and distribution || 11.5, 11.7, 11.8, 11.9 yms ||
 * Robustness and power of t procedures || 11.17, 11.19, 11.21, 11.22 yms ||
 * Statistical significance vs. practical importance || Unit 21 Video Tests of Significance questions dd ||
 * Investigative Task –Review of probability and mean of independent probabilities || AP Free Response Depth Measurements ||
 * Quiz on Inference for Distributions || Quiz 11.1 yms ||
 * Matched Pairs t tests- difference of means

vocabulary, match pairs, 1 vs. 2 sample w ||
 * Comparing Two Means

Two sample t tests, degrees of freedom || 11.37, 11.39, 11.40, 11.42 yms ||
 * ** Activity: ** Oreo Double Stuf Hypothesis t test || Collect data and perform a 2 sample inference test of means with conclusion ||
 * Review and practice of inference, computer output || 11.24, 11.25, 11.26, 11.50, 11.58, 11.67, 11.72, 11.73 yms ||
 * Test on significance tests || Test Chap 11 yms ||


 * ** Inference for Proportions - 10 days Chapter 12 ** ||
 * One-sample z test of proportions || 12.1, 12.2, 12.3, 12.5 yms ||
 * Sample size, Margin of Error || 12.9, 12.10, 12.11, 12.15, 12.16, 12.21 yms ||
 * Meeting Conditions || 12.16, 12.21 yms ||
 * Quiz - One sample inference for proportions || 12.1 yms ||
 * p = .5 when population proportion is unknown || Election problem w

AP type questions w ||
 * ======Comparing two proportions====== || Practice w

12.41, 12.42. 12.43, 12.44 yms

12.22, 12.23, 12.26 yms ||
 * Tests on calculator || Practice w ||
 * Quiz - Two sample inference for proportions || Quiz ||
 * ====Project: Hypothesis test of proportions==== || Compare student data to school data on chair comfort ||
 * ** Investigative Task: ** Hypothesis test and conclusion || AP Free Response Ambulance Wait w ||


 * ** Review and Assessment - 3 days ** || Review - Class group work inference problems -w

website practice choose test for problem

[] ||
 * Quarterly Exam - cumulative with focus on inference

Review of one and two-sample inference || Quarterly Exam - AP format with Multiple Choice, Short Answer and Free Response ||


 * ** Inference about Distributions of Population Proportions - 6 days Chapter 13 ** ||
 * Chi-square goodness of fit test

The chi-square family of distributions
 * Activity: ** M&M color proportions/distributions || 13.1, 13.2, 13.7, yms

Determine if candy samples meet claimed distribution, calculate and present conclusion

//R..Bailey, EVHS// ||
 * Conditions categorical and counts || 13.8,13.9 yms ||
 * Chi-square test of homogeneity, two way tables

Independent SRS's or randomized experiments || 13.11, 13.14, 13.18 yms || Chi-square tests on the calculator/ computer || 13.20, 13.23 yms
 * Chi-square test of association & independence Distinguishing between homogeneity and association/independence questions

Chi square computer/minitab output problems w ||
 * Practice problems with chi-square || 13.34, 14.35 yms ||
 * Review and Chi Square Quiz || Quiz 13 yms ||


 * ** Inference about Linear Regression - 4 days Chapter 14 ** ||
 * The linear regression model

Population vs. sample regression lines || 14.1, 14.2, 14.3, 14.6, 14.10 yms ||
 * Prediction and Conditions Linear enough? Residuals? || 14.12, 14.13 yms ||
 * Confidence Interval for slope t* table values ||  ||
 * Significance tests about the slope //B// = 0 null hypothesis

formulas, computer output

Regression inference on the calculator || 14.18, 14.19 yms minitab reading w marathon runners & time data w ||
 * Quiz on Inference for Regression || Quiz 14 yms ||
 * ** Investigative Task: ** CI, Hypothesis test, Type I and II Error and conclusion || Life After High School bvd ||


 * ** AP Exam Review - 7 days ** || Practice AP free response questions ||
 * || Practice AP Multiple Choice questions ||
 * || Rubric work ||


 * ** AP Statistics Exam - 1 day ** || Exam ||


 * ** After the AP Exam - 12 days ** || Students read a detailed statistical study (grade 6 or tuna fish) in groups analyze and discuss topics we’ve learned and those beyond us. ||
 * || Students complete a final project, alone or in groups on a topic choice. Both a written analysis and a brief oral presentation are required for this project. ||

Note: The number of days scheduled per topic is approximate. The days in each quarter and exam schedule are determined by the school calendar. For the first half of the yearlong course, AP Statistics is scheduled as a double block, 84 minutes. The second half is a single block, 42 minutes. Selected readings from the text chapters are often assigned. Current event/news articles and websites are often included. Additional activities, problems, videos, quizzes and tests may be substituted or added.

Note:

Block Schedule has been revised to every other day – all year long.

Grading policy is in accordance with more recent standards based grading.